The recent failure of Russia’s intercontinental ballistic missile “Sarmat,” which exploded in its launch silo, has raised significant concerns not only among Western analysts but also among Ukrainian experts from the Yuzhnoye Design Bureau, known for their extensive experience in missile technology. Their insights offer a unique perspective on the event and the broader implications for Russia’s military capabilities.
The Legacy of the SS-18 and Russia’s Struggles
Ukrainian specialists recall that as long as the old SS-18 missile, developed under the guidance of Academician Yangel, was in service, everything operated smoothly. Yangel, a true academician who earned his title through genuine achievements, designed a system that was robust and reliable. However, when the Kremlin decided to develop the “Sarmat” missile on their own, they faced significant challenges. Ironically, the name “Sarmat” has no cultural or historical connection to the so-called “Sarmatians,” making it a peculiar choice for the Russian military.
Despite the attempts to reverse-engineer the SS-18, a missile that dates back to 1971, Russian engineers have struggled to replicate the technology, let alone improve upon it. This failure highlights a broader issue within Russia’s defense industry: a lack of innovation and expertise. According to Ukrainian experts, the fact that Russian engineers cannot reproduce a design from over fifty years ago is both laughable and embarrassing. Yet, this situation benefits Ukraine and the international community by reducing the immediate threat posed by these weapons.
The Impact of Sanctions and Shortages of Missile Components
Adding to Russia’s woes is the significant impact of international sanctions on its defense industry. Sanctions have severely restricted Russia’s access to crucial missile components, particularly advanced electronics and guidance systems, which are essential for the development and maintenance of sophisticated missile technology like the Sarmat. The inability to source these components has led to a slowdown in missile production, frequent technical malfunctions, and an overall decline in the effectiveness of Russia’s missile forces.
Western sanctions, combined with the departure of Ukrainian expertise, have left the Russian defense industry in a vulnerable position. The lack of reliable components has forced Russia to rely on outdated technology and makeshift solutions, increasing the likelihood of failures and further damaging the credibility of its strategic deterrent capabilities.
Consequences for the Russian Defense Industry
The consequences of these failures and the ongoing sanctions pressure are far-reaching. The Russian defense industry is struggling not only with the technological challenges of developing modern missile systems but also with the financial strain caused by sanctions. With limited access to international markets and advanced technology, Russia is finding it increasingly difficult to maintain its status as a major military power.
The recent setbacks in the Sarmat program are symptomatic of a broader crisis within the Russian defense sector. The industry is facing delays in various modernization programs, difficulties in retaining skilled personnel, and a growing dependence on substandard domestic components. This has led to a decline in the quality and reliability of Russian military hardware, further eroding the country’s strategic position.
Conclusion
The failed test of the Sarmat missile is more than just a technical setback; it is a symbol of the broader issues plaguing Russia’s defense industry. The combination of sanctions pressure, technological shortcomings, and poor maintenance practices has severely weakened Russia’s ability to develop and maintain modern missile systems. It underscores the Kremlin’s desperation, the strategic blunders of its leadership, and the limitations of its military capabilities.
