After US President Donald Trump’s conversations with Russian dictator Putin and the President of Ukraine, as well as the Kremlin’s statements, analysts at the Institute for the Study of War have concluded that “Putin is not interested in any compromises during the upcoming peace talks.”
Source – analytical report of the American Institute for the Study of War.
It is known that US President Donald Trump held bilateral telephone conversations with dictator Putin and the President of Ukraine on February 12. On the same day, Trump said that they had agreed that their administrations would begin negotiations “immediately.”
The Kremlin’s official report on the conversation claims that Putin emphasized the need to “eliminate the root causes” of the war, and that Putin “agreed with Trump” that “a long-term settlement can be achieved through peace talks.”
ISW’s quote: “Russian officials have clearly identified the ‘root causes’ of the war as an alleged violation of NATO’s commitment not to advance eastward in areas near the Russian border. This indicates that the Kremlin remains committed to imposing its will and security interests on the United States and Europe and is not interested in compromising on this demand.”
As for the actual meetings, so far, Trump has confirmed Zelenskyy’s planned meetings with US Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the Munich Security Conference on February 14.
Zelenskiy said he and Trump discussed opportunities for peace, readiness to work together, and Ukraine’s technological capabilities, including drones. Zelenskiy said Trump shared details of his conversation with Putin and that he and Trump agreed to plan future bilateral meetings.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev explicitly rejected Zelensky’s proposal to exchange occupied Ukrainian territory for territory held by Ukrainian troops in Kursk region during upcoming peace talks.
Medvedev said that it would be “nonsense” to exchange Russian and Ukrainian territory, while Peskov said that Russia would “never discuss” the exchange of its territory.
Literally: “Medvedev’s and Peskov’s statements further confirm ISW’s assessment that Putin is not interested in any compromises during the upcoming peace talks and will only stick to a peace agreement that satisfies all of his maximalist demands for Ukraine.”
According to Danish intelligence, Russia could regain the potential to launch a full-scale war against NATO within the next five years. This coincides with ISW’s assessment of Russia’s efforts to restructure and prepare its armed forces and society for a future conflict with NATO in the medium to long term.
